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See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections

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Mayoral elections

The 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Ohio. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike DeWine won re-election to a second term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Nan Whaley, the former mayor of Dayton, 62.4% to 37.4%.[1] DeWine's 25-point victory marked the continuation of a trend in which every incumbent Republican governor of Ohio since 1994 has won re-election by a double-digit margin.

This was the first time since 1994 in which Trumbull and Mahoning counties have gone to the Republican candidate with over 60% of the vote. Hamilton County also voted Republican in a statewide election for the first time since Ohio's 2016 senate election.

Republican primary

Former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci challenged DeWine in the primary.

Incumbent governor Mike DeWine faced backlash from Republicans due to having implemented strict COVID-19 restrictions, such as a statewide stay at home order and mask mandates.[2][3][4] Due to this, on April 30, 2021, farmer Joe Blystone became the first candidate to announce a primary challenge to DeWine. On June 9, former U.S. Representative Jim Renacci also announced a run, later being followed up by former state representative Ron Hood.[5][6][7] As a result, DeWine became the first incumbent Ohio governor to face a primary challenger since Jim Rhodes in 1978 and the first to have multiple challengers since Michael Disalle in 1962. Initial polling showed Renacci in the lead; however, his lead soon evaporated, as DeWine attempted to appeal to conservatives angry with his COVID-19 response by attacking President Joe Biden's policies and signing constitutional carry into law, allowing permitless carry of firearms.[8][9][10] Incumbent governors rarely ever lose their primaries. Ultimately, DeWine prevailed in the primary election on May 3; however, he only won with a plurality of the vote, which suggests that he could have lost had his opponents not split the vote.[11]

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Mike DeWine
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Jim Renacci
State representatives
  • John Becker, former state representative from the 65th district (2013–2020)[39]
  • Jennifer Gross, state representative from the 52nd district (2021–present)[39]
  • Ron Maag, former state representative from the 62nd district (2013–2016) and the 35th district (2009–2013)[39]
  • Seth Morgan, former state representative from the 36th district (2009–2011)[40]
  • Nino Vitale, state representative from the 85th district (2015–present)[40]
  • Scott Wiggam, state representative from the 1st district (2017–present)[39]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Joe
Blystone		Mike
DeWine		Jim
Renacci		Other
[a]		Margin
Real Clear PoliticsFebruary 25 – May 1, 2022May 2, 202216.5%48.0%31.0%4.5%DeWine +17.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Joe
Blystone		Mike
DeWine		Ron
Hood		Jim
Renacci		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)April 29 – May 1, 20221,081 (LV)± 3.0%19%47%2%27%–5%
Emerson CollegeApril 28–29, 2022885 (LV)± 3.2%12%45%2%30%–12%
Fox NewsApril 20–24, 2022906 (LV)± 3.0%19%43%–24%1%12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)April 13–14, 20221,078 (LV)± 3.0%24%40%2%26%–10%
University of AkronFebruary 17 – March 15, 2022– (LV)––51%–23%10%17%
Fox NewsMarch 2–6, 2022918 (LV)± 3.0%21%50%–18%<1%10%
Emerson CollegeFebruary 25–26, 2022410 (LV)± 4.8%20%34%0%9%–36%
The Trafalgar Group (R)February 1–4, 20221,066 (LV)± 3.0%20%41%–23%–16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A]January 25–26, 2022626 (LV)± 3.9%–38%–33%–29%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B]January 11–13, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%–38%–46%–16%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B]May 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%–34%–42%–24%

Results

Results by county:
  DeWine
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Renacci
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Blystone
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[48][49]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican
519,594 48.11%
Republican
302,49428.01%
Republican
  • Joe Blystone
  • Jeremiah Workman
235,58421.81%
Republican
22,4112.07%
Total votes1,080,083 100.0%

Democratic primary

Former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

John Cranley
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Newspapers
Nan Whaley
U.S. senators
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE)[64]
Unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		John
Cranley		Nan
Whaley		OtherUndecided
University of AkronFebruary 17 – March 15, 2022– (LV)–18%23%6%54%
Emerson CollegeFebruary 25–26, 2022313 (LV)± 5.5%16%16%–69%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[C]January 17–19, 2022670 (LV)± 3.8%20%33%–48%

Results

Results by county:
  Whaley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Cranley
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[48][49]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic
331,014 65.01%
Democratic
178,13234.99%
Total votes509,146 100.0%

Independents

Candidates

  • Timothy Grady (write-in)[70]
    • Running mate: Dayna Bickley
  • Craig Patton (write-in)[70]
    • Running mate: Collin Cook
  • Renea Turner (write-in)[70]
    • Running mate: Adina Pelletier
  • Marshall Usher (write-in)[70]
    • Running mate: Shannon Walker

Disqualified

  • F. Patrick Cunnane
    • Running mate: Mary Cunnane
  • Niel Petersen, pastor from Huber Heights[71]
    • Running mate: Michael V Stewart

Endorsements

Timothy Grady
Activists

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[73]Solid RSeptember 29, 2022
Inside Elections[74]Solid RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[75]Safe RJune 2, 2022
Politico[76]Solid RNovember 3, 2022
RCP[77]Safe ROctober 20, 2022
Fox News[78]Likely RMay 12, 2022
538[79]Solid RJuly 31, 2022
Elections Daily[80]Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Mike DeWine (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
Local officials
State senators
Individuals
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations
Nan Whaley (D)
U.S. senators
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Joe Rugola, Executive Director of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees (OAPSE)[64]
Newspapers
Unions
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Mike
DeWine (R)		Nan
Whaley (D)		Undecided
[c]		Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 7–22, 2022October 25, 202255.8%37.5%6.7%DeWine +18.3
FiveThirtyEightAugust 16 – October 25, 2022October 25, 202255.5%36.1%8.4%DeWine +19.3
Average55.6%36.8%7.6%DeWine +18.8
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Mike
DeWine (R)		Nan
Whaley (D)		OtherUndecided
CiviqsNovember 4–7, 2022716 (LV)± 4.1%53%39%6%[d]2%
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%57%37%–6%
Targoz Market ResearchNovember 2–6, 2022505 (LV)± 4.3%62%32%5%[e]–
The Trafalgar Group (R)November 3–5, 20221,123 (LV)± 2.9%59%34%–8%
Data for Progress (D)November 2–5, 20221,413 (LV)± 3.0%62%38%––
Cygnal (R)November 1–3, 20221,498 (LV)± 2.5%56%37%–7%
Remington Research Group (R)November 1–2, 20221,125 (LV)± 2.8%58%35%–7%
Emerson CollegeOctober 30 – November 1, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%55%34%5%[f]7%
Cygnal (R)October 29 – November 1, 20221,520 (LV)± 2.5%56%36%–8%
Cygnal (R)October 26–30, 20221,510 (LV)± 2.5%56%36%–9%
Cygnal (R)October 24–28, 20221,776 (LV)± 2.3%56%35%–9%
Cygnal (R)October 22–26, 20221,817 (LV)± 2.3%56%35%–9%
Cygnal (R)October 20–24, 20221,886 (LV)± 2.3%55%37%–8%
Baldwin Wallace UniversityOctober 20–23, 20221,068 (LV)± 3.5%57%40%–3%
Cygnal (R)October 18–22, 20221,547 (LV)± 2.5%55%37%–8%
Marist CollegeOctober 17–20, 20221,141 (RV)± 3.9%53%40%1%[g]6%
942 (LV)± 4.3%54%41%1%[h]3%
Cygnal (R)October 16–20, 20221,540 (LV)± 2.5%55%37%–8%
Siena CollegeOctober 14–19, 2022644 (LV)± 5.1%58%34%3%[i]6%
Cygnal (R)October 14–18, 20221,438 (LV)± 2.6%56%35%–9%
Ohio Northern University/LucidOctober 11–15, 2022668 (LV)± 3.8%60%29%1%[j]10%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 11–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%56%38%1%[k]5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)October 10–12, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%55%37%–8%
Data for Progress (D)October 7–12, 20221,016 (LV)± 3.0%57%38%–5%
Cygnal (R)[D]October 6–8, 2022640 (LV)–57%35%–8%
Emerson CollegeOctober 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%36%6%[l]8%
Siena CollegeSeptember 18–22, 2022642 (LV)± 4.4%55%32%3%[m]10%
Baldwin Wallace UniversitySeptember 12–15, 2022855 (LV)± 4.1%57%39%–4%
Marist CollegeSeptember 12–15, 20221,200 (RV)± 3.6%55%37%–8%
1,009 (LV)± 3.9%55%39%–6%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 10–13, 20221000 (LV)± 3%50%33%5%12%
CiviqsSeptember 10–13, 2022780 (LV)± 4%44%41%10%5%
Fallon ResearchSeptember 6–11, 2022500 (RV)± 4.3%49%37%–14%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 5–7, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%54%39%–7%
Echelon InsightsAugust 31 – September 7, 2022831 (LV)± 4.3%54%35%–11%
Survey Monkey (D)[E]August 31 – September 2, 2022987 (RV)± 3.0%52%31%–17%
519 (LV)± 3.0%53%37%–10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)August 16–19, 20221,087 (LV)± 2.9%54%38%–8%
Emerson CollegeAugust 15–16, 2022925 (LV)± 3.2%49%33%8%11%
Lake Research Partners (D)[F]August 4–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%43%8%5%
Lake Research Partners (D)[F]August 3–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%43%7%6%
Suffolk UniversityMay 22–24, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%30%11%[n]13%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAugust 20–24, 20211,200 (RV)± 2.8%44%2+

+5%

10%16%
1,160 (LV)± 2.9%46%27%11%16%
Hypothetical polling
Mike DeWine vs. John Cranley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Mike
DeWine (R)		John
Cranley (D)		OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAugust 20–24, 20211,200 (RV)± 2.8%44%24%10%16%
1,160 (LV)± 2.9%47%25%11%15%

Results

|

State Senate district results
State House district results
2022 Ohio gubernatorial election[49]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
2,580,424 62.41% +12.02%
Democratic
1,545,48937.38%-9.30%
Write-in8,9640.22%N/A
Total votes4,134,877 100.0%
Turnout4,201,36852.32%
Registered electors8,029,950
Republican hold

According to a survey conducted by NORC for Fox News and the Associated Press, most white people (68% to 32%), Latinos (64% to 33%), and other minorities (60% to 36%) voted for DeWine, while most African Americans voted for Whaley (73% to 27%).[89]

Results by county

CountyMike DeWine
Republican		Nan Whaley
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams7,34883.83%1,39515.92%220.25%5,95367.91%8,765
Allen25,46177.97%6,83520.93%3601.10%18,62657.04%32,656
Ashland14,51079.10%3,72920.33%1050.57%10,78158.77%18,344
Ashtabula20,90368.16%9,62131.37%1420.46%11,28236.79%30,666
Athens8,92046.63%10,15553.08%550.29%-1,235-6.45%19,130
Auglaize16,01985.80%2,47413.25%1780.96%13,54572.55%18,671
Belmont16,88474.74%5,54624.55%1610.70%11,33850.19%22,591
Brown11,65882.42%2,37216.77%1140.81%9,28665.65%14,144
Butler90,06370.12%38,18629.73%1990.15%51,87740.39%128,448
Carroll8,07479.51%1,96919.39%1121.11%6,10560.12%10,155
Champaign11,32478.34%2,96220.49%1691.17%8,36257.85%14,455
Clark31,12170.88%12,55928.60%2280.51%18,56242.28%43,908
Clermont59,15373.54%20,88825.97%3950.49%38,26547.57%80,436
Clinton11,47981.05%2,58318.24%1010.71%8,89662.81%14,163
Columbiana28,01378.93%7,16920.20%3110.87%20,84458.73%35,493
Coshocton8,90178.44%2,36920.88%780.69%6,53257.56%11,348
Crawford11,78179.43%2,94919.88%1010.68%8,83259.55%14,831
Cuyahoga175,69742.73%234,07656.93%1,3890.34%-58,379-14.20%411,162
Darke17,27886.96%2,46412.40%1280.65%14,81474.56%19,870
Defiance10,18075.87%3,13923.40%980.73%7,04152.47%13,417
Delaware62,73363.49%35,94236.37%1370.14%26,79127.12%98,812
Erie18,65164.31%10,23635.30%1130.39%8,41529.01%29,000
Fairfield41,01769.53%17,84230.25%1290.22%23,17539.28%58,988
Fayette6,91381.88%1,47617.48%540.64%5,43764.40%8,443
Franklin182,91442.87%242,33256.79%1,4640.34%-59,418-13.92%426,710
Fulton13,00879.22%3,32420.24%880.53%9,68458.98%16,420
Gallia7,22979.72%1,67718.49%1621.79%5,55261.23%9,068
Geauga28,93167.97%13,34431.35%2890.68%15,58736.62%42,564
Greene45,78768.90%20,56530.95%1010.15%25,22237.95%66,453
Guernsey9,48678.04%2,53020.81%1391.14%6,95657.23%12,155
Hamilton155,57751.18%148,02348.70%3710.12%7,5542.48%303,971
Hancock20,97577.07%6,12722.51%1140.42%14,84854.56%27,216
Hardin7,21080.42%1,71719.15%380.42%5,49361.27%8,965
Harrison4,07978.61%1,07220.66%380.73%3,00757.95%5,189
Henry8,43780.87%1,94918.68%470.45%6,48862.19%10,433
Highland10,88083.31%2,11416.19%650.50%8,76667.12%13,059
Hocking7,04673.83%2,40525.20%920.96%4,64148.63%9,543
Holmes7,26285.96%1,11513.20%710.84%6,14772.76%8,448
Huron13,90475.06%4,46424.10%1550.84%9,44050.96%18,523
Jackson7,03379.38%1,74919.74%780.88%5,28459.64%8,860
Jefferson16,92973.90%5,85525.56%1230.53%11,07448.34%22,907
Knox17,34975.22%5,52523.95%1910.83%11,82451.27%23,065
Lake61,12164.66%33,09835.01%3080.33%28,02329.65%94,527
Lawrence13,60277.86%3,81521.84%520.30%9,78756.02%17,469
Licking46,88170.54%19,14328.80%4390.66%27,73841.74%66,463
Logan13,55382.05%2,77716.81%1881.14%10,77665.24%16,518
Lorain66,28959.69%44,31439.90%4460.40%21,97519.79%111,049
Lucas72,21454.14%60,51645.37%6610.50%11,6988.77%133,391
Madison10,78376.25%3,24422.94%1150.81%7,53953.31%14,142
Mahoning55,67665.20%29,44434.48%2760.32%26,23230.72%85,396
Marion14,26374.17%4,81825.05%1490.78%9,44549.12%19,230
Medina53,49868.47%24,03430.76%6040.78%29,46437.71%78,136
Meigs5,75578.20%1,51920.64%851.15%4,23657.56%7,359
Mercer15,40386.89%2,23012.58%1040.53%13,17374.31%17,727
Miami33,70979.46%8,45219.92%2610.62%25,25759.54%42,422
Monroe3,79377.97%1,02221.01%501.03%2,77156.96%4,865
Montgomery110,67259.05%76,15440.63%6030.32%34,51818.42%187,429
Morgan3,80879.35%95819.96%330.69%2,85059.39%4,799
Morrow10,69880.52%2,47518.63%1130.85%8,22361.89%13,286
Muskingum21,06476.76%6,23022.70%1490.54%14,83454.06%27,443
Noble3,78581.93%77816.84%571.24%3,00765.09%4,620
Ottawa13,31271.79%5,17127.89%600.32%8,14143.90%18,543
Paulding5,16979.58%1,28519.78%410.63%3,88459.80%6,495
Perry9,26378.31%2,51521.26%500.43%6,74857.05%11,828
Pickaway15,20977.45%4,28921.84%1390.71%10,92055.61%19,637
Pike5,88975.66%1,84223.67%520.67%4,04751.99%7,783
Portage37,63462.15%22,66537.43%2550.42%14,96924.72%60,554
Preble13,17283.38%2,50415.85%1210.77%10,66867.53%15,797
Putnam13,40289.09%1,55010.30%920.62%11,85278.79%15,044
Richland30,89974.46%10,42925.13%1700.41%20,47049.33%41,498
Ross16,49672.79%6,03726.64%1300.57%10,45946.15%22,663
Sandusky15,71273.10%5,63126.20%1500.70%10,08146.90%21,493
Scioto15,93475.84%5,04824.03%290.14%10,88651.81%21,011
Seneca13,66775.45%4,31923.84%1290.71%9,34851.61%18,115
Shelby15,71786.69%2,29112.64%1220.67%13,42674.05%18,130
Stark90,38767.49%43,08232.17%4630.35%47,30535.32%133,932
Summit105,77753.20%92,20646.37%8540.43%13,5716.83%198,837
Trumbull48,45966.48%24,16333.15%2680.37%24,29633.33%72,890
Tuscarawas22,29673.64%7,68525.38%2940.97%14,61148.26%30,275
Union18,38772.10%6,91827.13%1960.77%11,46944.97%25,501
Van Wert8,27982.22%1,70216.90%880.88%6,57765.32%10,069
Vinton3,11177.87%83220.83%521.30%2,27957.04%3,995
Warren74,34572.95%27,07026.56%4930.48%47,27546.39%101,908
Washington16,93474.79%5,62524.84%820.37%11,30949.95%22,641
Wayne28,28473.76%9,82425.62%2380.63%18,46048.14%38,346
Williams10,33179.99%2,54319.69%410.32%7,78860.30%12,915
Wood31,39964.67%17,06035.14%950.20%14,33929.53%48,554
Wyandot6,53780.17%1,55819.11%590.71%4,97961.06%8,154
Totals2,580,68562.27%1,545,68837.30%17,9510.43%1,034,99724.97%4,144,324

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

DeWine won 13 of 15 congressional districts, including three that elected Democrats.[90]

DistrictDeWineWhaleyRepresentative
1st55%45%Steve Chabot (117th Congress)
Greg Landsman (118th Congress)
2nd77%23%Brad Wenstrup
3rd37%63%Joyce Beatty
4th74%25%Jim Jordan
5th71%29%Bob Latta
6th72%28%Bill Johnson
7th63%37%Bob Gibbs (117th Congress)
Max Miller (118th Congress)
8th69%31%Warren Davidson
9th63%37%Marcy Kaptur
10th62%38%Mike Turner
11th30%70%Shontel Brown
12th72%28%Troy Balderson
13th57%43%Tim Ryan (117th Congress)
Emilia Sykes (118th Congress)
14th66%34%David Joyce
15th62%38%Mike Carey

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  5. ^ "All others" with 5%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  7. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  8. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  9. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  10. ^ "Other" with 1%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  13. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  14. ^ Petersen with 11%, "someone else" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Renacci's campaign committee
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Whaley's campaign
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by American Greatness
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeWine
  6. ^ a b This poll was circulated by the Ohio Democratic Party

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Ohio_gubernatorial_election